MBCC II Agenda

Monday, May 11th: Risk and Business Cycle

  

*note that speakers are highlighted in author listings*

•8:30-9:30: 

Accounting for the Sources of Macroeconomic Tail Risks 
Enghin Atalay and Thorsten Drautzburg (Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia)

•9:30-9:45: Coffee Break 

•9:45-10:45 

On Modeling Risk Shocks 
Victor Dorofeenko, Gabriel S. Lee (University of Regensburg, Germany)and Kevin D. Salyer

•10:45-11:00: Coffee Break 

•11:00-12:00: 

Adverse Selection, Risk Sharing and Business Cycles ” 
Marcelo Veracierto (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago)

•12:00-1:15: 

Optimality in an Adverse Selection Insurance Economy with Private Trading
Pamela Labadie (George Washington University) 
Lunch during presentation

•1:15: Group Photo 


Tuesday, May 12: Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

•8:30-9:30: 

Bank Deposit Insurance: Implications for Portfolios and Equilibrium Valuation of Risky Assets
Stephen F. LeRoy and Hrishikesh Singhania (University of Exeter Business School, U.K.)

•9:30-9:45: Coffee Break 

•9:45-10:45 

Self-fulfilling Runs: Evidence from the U.S. Life Insurance Industry
Nathan Foley-Fisher, Borghan Harajabad and Stephane Verani (Federal Reserve Board of Governors)

•10:45-11:00: Coffee Break 

•11:00-12:00: 

Sticky Leverage
Joao Gomes, Urban Jermann and Lukas Schmid (Duke University)

•12:00-1:15: 

Technology Assimilation and Aggregate Productivity
Ping Wang (Washington University, St. Louis and NBER), Tsz-Nga Wong and Chong K. Yip 
Lunch during presentation


Wednesday, May 13: Labor Market and Macroeconomic Implications

•8:30-9:30: 

The Effects of Moral Hazard on Wage Inequality in a Frictional Labor Market
Arpad Abraham (European University Institute, Italy), Fernando Alvarez-Parraz and Suzanne Forstner

•9:30-9:45: Coffee Break 

•9:45-10:45 

Firing Costs, Misallocation and Aggregate Productivity
Jose-Maria De-Rocha, Marina Mendes Tavares and Diego Restuccia

•10:45-11:00: Coffee Break 

•11:00-12:00: 

What Do Data on Millions of U.S. Workers Reveal about Life-Cycle Earnings Risk?
Fatih Guvenen, Fatih Karahan, Serdar Ozkan (University of Toronto), and Jae Song

•12:00-1:15: 

Firing Costs and Labor Market Fluctuations: A Cross-Country Analysis
Gonzalo Llosa, Lee Ohanian, Andrea Raffo (Federal Reserve Board of Governors), and Richard Rogerson 
Lunch during presentation

•1:15-2:15: 

Land Prices and Unemployment
Zheng Liu (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco), Jianjun Miao and Tao Zha


Thursday, May 14: Macroeconomic Policy

•8:30-9:30: 

Financial Contracting with Enforcement Externalities 
Lukas A. Drozd (University of Pennsylvania-Wharton) and Ricardo Serrano-Padial

•9:30-9:45: Coffee Break 

•9:45-10:45 

The Sufficient Statistic Approach: Predicting the Top of the Laffer Curve
Alejandro Badel (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis) and Mark Huggett

•10:45-11:00: Coffee Break 

•11:00-12:00: 

The Cost of Uncertainty about the Timing of Social Security Reform
Frank N. Caliendo, Aspen Gorry (Utah State University) and Sita Slavov

•12:00-1:15: 

The Implications of a Graying Japan for Government Policy
R. Anton Braun (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta) and Douglas H. Joines
Lunch during presentation

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